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The Tariff Tab is Coming
For the week ended 8/16/25. First the good news: year-over-year inflation held steady in July at 2.7%, matching June’s reading and...
David Halseth
2 days ago2 min read
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Disco, Debt, and the CPI Hustle
For the week ended 8/9/2025. It was the 1970s: a great time to be alive, KC and the Sunshine Band on the radio, Star Wars  in theaters,...
David Halseth
Aug 102 min read
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Shaky Growth, Surly Dissent, and a Cup of Calm
For the week ended 8/2/2025. Much going on in economic land, so refill your mug and buckle in. First, the bright spot: consumer...
David Halseth
Aug 32 min read
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Riding the Wave of Resilience
For the week ended 7/26/2025. Despite a backdrop of global uncertainty of trade tensions, international friction, and the usual...
David Halseth
Jul 272 min read
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The Data Doesn’t Care What You Want
For the week ended 7/19/2025. It’s becoming increasingly difficult to fire someone, especially in the court of public opinion, when...
David Halseth
Jul 202 min read
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Back to Reality, Markets and All
For the week ended 7/5/2025. I hope you had a rousing, fireworks-filled 4th of July and welcome back to another week of data, decisions,...
David Halseth
Jul 62 min read
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Chaos? What Chaos? Wall Street Climbs Anyway
For the week ended 6/28/2025. Go figure. The Middle East is in turmoil, tariff threats keep popping out of D.C. like rabbits from a...
David Halseth
Jun 292 min read
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Markets Yawn, the Fed Waits, and Iran Has a Stock Market?
For the week ended 6/21/2025. Welcome to Monday Morning Musings . If you’ve clicked in, I’ll assume you’ve had your fill of geopolitical...
David Halseth
Jun 222 min read
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Tariffs, Data, and the Art of Standing Still
For the week ended 6/14/25. Where’s the Inflation? (No, Seriously.) Okay, where is  the inflation? While we’re not quite ready to pop...
David Halseth
Jun 152 min read
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Jobs, Markets, and a Bromance Breakup
For the week ended 6/7/2025. Top of the morning to you! Hopefully, you're as excited to read this edition of Monday Morning Musings as...
David Halseth
Jun 82 min read
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Tariffs, Truces, and a 22% Turnaround
For the week ended 5/31/2025. Back in Action – and So Are the Markets Welcome back after the Memorial Day respite. Hopefully you enjoyed...
David Halseth
Jun 12 min read
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Gains, Groans, and Government IOUs
For the week ended 5/17/2025. Good morning, shall we start with the good news or the bad? Being the optimist I occasionally pretend to...
David Halseth
May 182 min read
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Rates Steady and the Babylonian Empire
For the week ended 5/10/2025. Pop Quiz: How Long Would It Take to Spend $1 Trillion at $1 Million a Day? Answer at the bottom. No...
David Halseth
May 112 min read
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Economic Contractions, Jobs, and Jedi Wisdom
For the week ended 5/3/2025. Wow, lots to unpack this week, so let’s skip the pleasantries and dive right in. First Up: The GDP Gut Punch...
David Halseth
May 42 min read
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No Turbulence for Now
For week ended 2/26/2025. Let’s start the week with a bit of good news, shall we? Feel free to unbuckle your seatbelt for a few minutes...
David Halseth
Apr 272 min read
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Chocolate with a Dose of Civics
For the week ended 4/19/2025. Welcome back to Monday, and I hope your Easter weekend was filled with just enough chocolate to make up...
David Halseth
Apr 202 min read
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Extraordinary Becomes Ordinary
For the week ended 4/12/2025. In a sign of just how upside-down things have gotten, last week’s inflation data got bumped to page three...
David Halseth
Apr 132 min read
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Let’s Just Rip the Band-Aid Off, Shall We?
For week ended 4/5/2025. In case you missed it, and let’s be honest, most did, the U.S. added 228,000 jobs last month. That’s a full...
David Halseth
Apr 62 min read
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The Retreat of Trade
For the week ended 3/29/2025. Let’s take a break from the daily headline chaos and talk about something that rarely gets the spotlight...
David Halseth
Mar 302 min read
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Walking the Tightrope
For the week ended 3/22/2025. If Jerome Powell ever wanted a side gig, he might consider circus work—because right now, he and his FOMC...
David Halseth
Mar 232 min read
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