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Back to Reality, Markets and All
For the week ended 7/5/2025. I hope you had a rousing, fireworks-filled 4th of July and welcome back to another week of data, decisions,...
David Halseth
4 days ago2 min read
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Chaos? What Chaos? Wall Street Climbs Anyway
For the week ended 6/28/2025. Go figure. The Middle East is in turmoil, tariff threats keep popping out of D.C. like rabbits from a...
David Halseth
Jun 292 min read
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Markets Yawn, the Fed Waits, and Iran Has a Stock Market?
For the week ended 6/21/2025. Welcome to Monday Morning Musings . If you’ve clicked in, I’ll assume you’ve had your fill of geopolitical...
David Halseth
Jun 222 min read
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Tariffs, Data, and the Art of Standing Still
For the week ended 6/14/25. Where’s the Inflation? (No, Seriously.) Okay, where is  the inflation? While we’re not quite ready to pop...
David Halseth
Jun 152 min read
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Jobs, Markets, and a Bromance Breakup
For the week ended 6/7/2025. Top of the morning to you! Hopefully, you're as excited to read this edition of Monday Morning Musings as...
David Halseth
Jun 82 min read
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Tariffs, Truces, and a 22% Turnaround
For the week ended 5/31/2025. Back in Action – and So Are the Markets Welcome back after the Memorial Day respite. Hopefully you enjoyed...
David Halseth
Jun 12 min read
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Gains, Groans, and Government IOUs
For the week ended 5/17/2025. Good morning, shall we start with the good news or the bad? Being the optimist I occasionally pretend to...
David Halseth
May 182 min read
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Rates Steady and the Babylonian Empire
For the week ended 5/10/2025. Pop Quiz: How Long Would It Take to Spend $1 Trillion at $1 Million a Day? Answer at the bottom. No...
David Halseth
May 112 min read
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Economic Contractions, Jobs, and Jedi Wisdom
For the week ended 5/3/2025. Wow, lots to unpack this week, so let’s skip the pleasantries and dive right in. First Up: The GDP Gut Punch...
David Halseth
May 42 min read
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No Turbulence for Now
For week ended 2/26/2025. Let’s start the week with a bit of good news, shall we? Feel free to unbuckle your seatbelt for a few minutes...
David Halseth
Apr 272 min read
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Chocolate with a Dose of Civics
For the week ended 4/19/2025. Welcome back to Monday, and I hope your Easter weekend was filled with just enough chocolate to make up...
David Halseth
Apr 202 min read
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Extraordinary Becomes Ordinary
For the week ended 4/12/2025. In a sign of just how upside-down things have gotten, last week’s inflation data got bumped to page three...
David Halseth
Apr 132 min read
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Let’s Just Rip the Band-Aid Off, Shall We?
For week ended 4/5/2025. In case you missed it, and let’s be honest, most did, the U.S. added 228,000 jobs last month. That’s a full...
David Halseth
Apr 62 min read
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The Retreat of Trade
For the week ended 3/29/2025. Let’s take a break from the daily headline chaos and talk about something that rarely gets the spotlight...
David Halseth
Mar 302 min read
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Walking the Tightrope
For the week ended 3/22/2025. If Jerome Powell ever wanted a side gig, he might consider circus work—because right now, he and his FOMC...
David Halseth
Mar 232 min read
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Recession Talk Is All The Rage
For week ended 3/15/2025. Last week brought an unexpected twist in the inflation saga. The February CPI report showed year-over-year...
David Halseth
Mar 162 min read
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Europe Rises While the U.S. Stumbles
For the week ended 3/8/2025. Jobs: Hiring Increases as Does Unemployment First, the good news—the U.S. economy kept adding jobs at a...
David Halseth
Mar 92 min read
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This is Not 2000
For week ended 3/2/2025. Prior to the dot-com crash in early 2000, the crucial warning sign was the lack of profitability among the...
David Halseth
Mar 22 min read
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Follow the Money, The Rest is Just Noise
For week ended 2/23/25. Washington, D.C. has been buzzing with noise lately—depending on your politics, you’re either distressed or...
David Halseth
Feb 232 min read
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More Snow and Inflation
For week ended 2/16/2025 It’s back! Yes, I’m talking about the scourge of inflation. This one economic data point has inflicted more...
David Halseth
Feb 162 min read
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